Bitcoin’s 2025 journey has been a bit of a rollercoaster so far. It started the year strong, even hitting a brand new all-time high. But that excitement didn’t last—by the end of March, Bitcoin had lost more than 15% of its value.
Now, Bitcoin’s price seems to be stuck in a tight range, moving sideways. That’s left a lot of short-term investors feeling frustrated—and many of them are choosing to sell and leave the market.
So… Is Bitcoin About To Go Up?
According to a new post on X (formerly Twitter) by crypto analyst Darkfost, we might be closer to a price rebound than many people think.
Darkfost looked into the blockchain data and found that a specific group of Bitcoin holders—those who’ve held their coins for 1 to 3 months—are selling at a loss. And not just a few of them. These sell-offs are happening at a rate not seen since the FTX crash in late 2022.
This kind of data is tracked using something called the Profit/Loss Margin, which measures whether investors are in the green (profit) or in the red (loss). When this number drops sharply, it usually means people are panic-selling below their original buy price.
Why This Might Actually Be Bullish
Believe it or not, this kind of behavior from short-term holders has often happened right before a major price rally. We saw something similar:
- After the FTX collapse in November 2022, Bitcoin dropped below $16,000, only to rebound and nearly quadruple in value over the following 12–14 months.
- In mid-2021, after a big drop from Bitcoin’s then-record high, many short-term holders sold in panic—right before Bitcoin bounced back and set a new high by November.
The idea here is that when “weak hands” sell out of fear, long-term investors (the ones who usually understand market cycles better) tend to buy up the dip. Once the selling pressure fades, the price often heads upward.
Where’s Bitcoin Now?
As of now, Bitcoin is trading at around $83,700, holding steady with no major movement in the last 24 hours. Over the past week, it’s up about 1%, according to CoinGecko.
So while things might seem quiet on the surface, what’s happening behind the scenes could be setting the stage for Bitcoin’s next big move.
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